Less than two months from the 2019 midterm elections, Rep. Arthur Yap emerged as the leading candidate for governor of Bohol according to the first local pre-election survey for the upcoming polls conducted by the Holy Name University-Center for Research and Publications (HNU-CRP).
The results of the February 12-March 6, 2019 survey, which also covered other top local government posts and trust ratings of various institutions, were released on Friday at the HNU campus in Tagbilaran City.
Yap would be elected governor by 53 percent of Boholanos if the polls were held during the survey period, HNU said.
Former Cabinet secretary Leoncio Evasco, Jr., perceived to be Yap’s top rival among three other gubernatorial bets, meanwhile garnered 35 percent of the survey votes.
The HNU Bohol Poll 2019 was conducted through face-to-face interviews with 400 respondents who were confirmed to be Bohol voters. It has an overall sampling error margin of +/- five percent.
Each of the three districts of Bohol had 100 respondents, while Tagbilaran City also had 100 respondents.
Margins of error for Tagbilaran City, Second District and Third District were at +/- 10 percent while margin of error for the First District was at +/- 7 percent.
VOTERS’ PREFERENCE FOR OTHER POSTS:
First District Representative
Gov. Edgar Chatto (86%)
Dan Lim (14%)
Third District Representative
Board Member Alexie Tutor (33%)
Vice Gov. Dionisio Balite (30%)
Che Toribio Delos-Reyes (21%)
Tagbilaran City Mayor
Mayor Baba Yap (90%)
Sharleen Lim (6%)
According to HNU, the polls for vice governor and second district representative were not included as both entries were accidentally omitted in the survey.
The HNU-CRP has been conducting pre-election surveys in various polls for several years now.
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In the 2016 national elections, the last presidential survey conducted by the HNU-CRP right before Election Day proved to be accurate.
President Rodrigo Duterte and Vice President Leni Robredo, who both won in Bohol by wide margins, showed commanding leads over their rivals in the HNU Bohol Poll released on May 6, 2016, three days before the actual elections.